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Trading Systems Academy / Module 6 / 39
MODULE 6 · PERFORMANCE, STATISTICS & VALIDATION

Why Accuracy Alone Does Not Define a Strategy

The source explicitly demonstrates that a strategy does not need a very high percentage of winning trades if profitable trades are sufficiently larger than losing trades.

ACADEMY #39PERFORMANCE ANALYTICSSYSTEM VALIDATION

Validation principle

This is why win rate must be interpreted together with average win, average loss and trading costs. The source's 3R examples illustrate the relationship, but they do not prove that every strategy should target exactly 3R.

ENGINEERING TRANSLATION

A validation dashboard should therefore display WIN_RATE, AVG_WIN_R, AVG_LOSS_R, EXPECTANCY_R and SAMPLE_SIZE together rather than promoting win rate as a standalone quality score.

TRADES → R-MULTIPLES → EXPECTANCY → DRAWDOWN → CONTEXT → ERROR CLASSIFICATION → VALIDATION GATE

Connected FX Nova modules

Educational software-engineering material. Source-specific numerical rules are identified as methodology rules; production thresholds require independent testing and sufficient data.

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